US: the new Trump administration
Analysis by Paolo G. Parovel, English version by Silvia Verdoljak.
Trieste, 13 November 2024. – The final results of the 2024 US Presidential election confirmed the decisive victory of the Republican Party’s candidate, Donald J. Trump: he won 30 out of 50 States (meaning 312 Electors out of 538), and the defeat of the Democratic Party’s candidate, the Vice President in office, Kamala Harris.
Harris and the outgoing President, Joe Biden, conceded the election, and preparations for the transition to the new administration are already underway, ending on January 20th, 2025, with the swearing-in ceremony of Donald J. Trump as 47th President of the United States and JD Vance as Vice President.
Indeed, as expected, the majority of voters regarded Trump’s economic and political agenda on both national and international matters and broad concerns as more stable, reliable, and realistic than the more ideological, improvised, and sectoral agenda offered by Harris.
Furthermore, the majority of Americans didn’t appreciate how the Democratic Party attempted to rally votes demonizing Donald J. Trump, at home and abroad, and with such aggressive propaganda that it even incited unbalanced extremists to go as far as attempting to assassinate him.
Also, the vote was influenced by the perception of the weakness of the administration led by Joe Biden, who is aged and in poor health, which was not counterbalanced by Vice President Harris but by the extraordinary personality of the Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, and by the reliability of the diplomatic, military, and intelligence institutions.
Indeed, it was, and still is, evident that the United States’ international adversaries exploited the Biden administration’s weakness across various crisis hotspots that the first Trump administration had effectively kept in check. These include Afghanistan, North Korea, Ukraine, the Middle East, Taiwan, and the Indo-Pacific. As a result, the risk of conflicts escalating to a global or even nuclear scale has increased.
The economic, political, and strategic consequences, also exacerbated by the irresponsible actions of many European Governments, have been devastating.
A poorly organized retreat from Afghanistan handed the country over to the Taliban regime and military bases to Communist China. The North Korean dictatorship returned to be aggressive. The war in Ukraine has been exploited to cause a ruinous economic and strategic rift with Russia. Hamas terrorists, backed by Iran, destabilized the Middle East in an effort to disrupt the Abraham Accords, while the Chinese Communist Party takes advantage of all of this to expand its global influence and to increase political and military pressure on the Republic of China (Taiwan), on its neighboring States, and throughout the Indo-Pacific.
The new Trump administration must now confront this extremely dangerous political and strategic chaos to rebuild, with realism, courage, and competence, balances of peace and international cooperation grounded in reason, truth, law, and faith in the common good.
With serious and effective stabilization programs already launched during the first Trump administration and continued by Secretary of State Antony Blinken during the Biden administration, like the Abraham Accords between Israel and Muslim countries, the Three Seas Initiative among the Central-Eastern European countries, and cooperation agreements among nations in the Indo-Pacific region.
The international and domestic situations in the U.S. have since deteriorated, so it now takes even greater political intelligence, strength, and resolve than already shown during the first Trump administration.
Indeed, it is in the interest of all persons of good will, both in the US and worldwide, that the second Trump administration exercises these qualities successfully to restore peace and avoid new wars. Because everyone should understand that there is no other democratic global power with the will and the ability to achieve this goal.